Thursday, November 29, 2012

Four is the 'magic' number

ScienceDaily (Nov. 27, 2012) ? According to psychological lore, when it comes to items of information the mind can cope with before confusion sets in, the "magic" number is seven.

But a new analysis by a leading Australian psychiatrist challenges this long-held view, suggesting the number might actually be four.

In 1956, American psychologist George Miller published a paper in the influential journal Psychological Review arguing the mind could cope with a maximum of only seven chunks of information.

The paper, "The Magical Number Seven, Plus or Minus Two. Some Limits on Our Capacity for Processing Information," has since become one of the most highly cited psychology articles and has been judged by the Psychological Review as its most influential paper of all time.

But UNSW professor of psychiatry Gordon Parker says a re-analysis of the experiments used by Miller shows he missed the correct number by a wide mark.

Writing in the journal Acta Psychiatrica Scandinavica, Scientia Professor Parker says a closer look at the evidence shows the human mind copes with a maximum of four 'chunks' of information, not seven.

"So to remember a seven numeral phone number, say 6458937, we need to break it into four chunks: 64. 58. 93. 7. Basically four is the limit to our perception.

"That's a big difference for a paper that is one of the most highly referenced psychology articles ever -- nearly a 100 percent discrepancy," he suggests.

Professor Parker says the success of the original paper lies "more in its multilayered title and Miller's evocative use of the word 'magic'," than in the science.

Professor Parker says 50 years after Miller there is still uncertainty about the nature of the brain's storage capacity limits: "There may be no limit in storage capacity per se but only a limit to the duration in which items can remain active in short-term memory."

"Regardless, the consensus now is that humans can best store only four chunks in short-term memory tasks," he says.

The full discussion paper includes many exemplars of the magic of 'four'.

Share this story on Facebook, Twitter, and Google:

Other social bookmarking and sharing tools:


Story Source:

The above story is reprinted from materials provided by University of New South Wales.

Note: Materials may be edited for content and length. For further information, please contact the source cited above.


Journal Reference:

  1. George A. Miller. The magical number seven, plus or minus two: some limits on our capacity for processing information.. Psychological Review, 1956; 63 (2): 81 DOI: 10.1037/h0043158

Note: If no author is given, the source is cited instead.

Disclaimer: This article is not intended to provide medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. Views expressed here do not necessarily reflect those of ScienceDaily or its staff.

Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/living_well/~3/uruk3weVA8c/121128093930.htm

punxsutawney phil groundhog day ground hog groundhog day 2012 serrano staten island chuck dr jekyll and mr hyde

Marin Clean Energy program to launch in Richmond by Sara Bernard

Tiffany Neely, Class of 2014

Why did you decide to apply to the J-School?

In my last year as an undergrad, I decided I wanted to further my knowledge, experience, and skills in journalism the best way I could...My mindset then and now was that to become the best, I needed to learn from the best. So here I am, a grad student in Berkeley's graduate school of journalism, to me, the best of the best...Read more

?

Source: http://journalism.berkeley.edu/stories/3980/

Adam Greenberg Fall Leaves Jim Lehrer 666 Park Avenue Kara Alongi Sahara Davenport Resident Evil 6

The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills Recap: Frilly Knickers & Groin Tattoos

Source: http://www.thehollywoodgossip.com/2012/11/the-real-housewives-of-beverly-hills-recap-frilly-knickers-and-g/

jk rowling qnexa kingdom of heaven national enquirer whitney houston arizona republican debate arizona debate enquirer

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Thu, December 6, 2012 - California Academy of Sciences: Sugar-Coated NightLife

The best of the Bay Area for KQED fans: discover events hand-picked by our editors, sponsored listings, and more.

The event you are looking for cannot be found.

From here you can:

  1. Select a shaded day 17 from the mini-cal.
  2. Use the mini-cal to Navigate forward > or backward < a month.
  3. Click here to view this week's events.

Source: http://events.kqed.org/events/index.php?com=detail&eID=24373

alistair overeem texas a m insight bowl russell brand files for divorce bowl game schedule katy perry and russell brand katy perry divorce

Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) and November Auto Sales ...

By Demian Russian

Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) - auto salesWith Sirius XM Radio?s (NASDAQ:SIRI) OEM activated satellite radio trials?tied closely to its?business model,?investors are watching for continuing signs of recovery in the U.S. auto industry.?TrueCar.com,?an authority on new car pricing, trends and forecasting, released their official November 2012 auto sales and incentives forecast today and it points to continuing strength in the U.S. auto industry.

According to TrueCar?s forecast, new light vehicle sales in the U.S. (including fleet sales) for the month of?November, 2012?is anticipated to be 1,120,088 units, up 12.7% year-over-year from and up 2.6% month-over-month (on an unadjusted basis). This?translates into a SAAR (Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate) of 15.2 million, up 13.5 million year-over-year and up 14.3 million month-over-month.?Retail auto sales are up 13.1%?year-over-year??and up 6.3%?month-over-month.?Fleet and rental sales are forecasted to make up 16.1% of total industry sales in November 2012.?The industry average incentive spending per unit for the month of November is expected to be approximately $2,764, which represents an increase of 4.4 percent year-over-year and an increase of 19.3% month-over-month.

TrueCar forecasts for the top eight manufacturers for November 2012:

auto sales - unit sales

?November was a strong month for new car sales and the impact from Hurricane Sandy helped to boost auto sales to its highest since February 2008. Import automakers got the biggest lift due to some increased incentive spending building momentum heading into next year. We don?t expect any major impact on auto sales from the ongoing fiscal cliff discussions.?

? Jesse Toprak, Senior Analyst for TrueCar.com

auto sales - market share

?Incentives are expected to increase nearly 20 percent in November and to their highest levels in over two years. Nissan?s incentive spend increased by almost 80 percent while the Asian automakers incentives also grew by over 20 percent. GM was the only domestic automaker that increased incentive spending last month.?

??Kristen Andersson, analyst for TrueCar.com

auto slaes - incentive spending

Used car sales, which includes sales from franchise dealerships, independent dealerships and private party sales,?are estimated to be 2,685,944, up 3.8% year-over-year and down 11.7 percent month-over-month. The ratio of new to used is estimated to be 1:3.

TrueCar bases its forecast on actual auto sales transaction data. Their transaction data based forecast is refined by other current and historical factors that impact vehicle sales, which includes sales, inventory, incentives, fuel prices, and macro economic data (major stock market indexes, consumer confidence, new home starts, and CPI). TrueCar does not adjust for selling days in year-over-year percentage change calculations.

Demian Russian is the Editor-in-Chief of?Satellite Radio Playground?and?Market Playground.

Disclosure: Long SIRI
Contact the author:?DemianRussian@SatelliteRadioPlayground.com

Source: http://satelliteradioplayground.com/2012/11/28/sirius-xm-radio-nasdaqsiri-and-november-auto-sales-truecar-forecasts-highest-saar-since-february-2008/

anne hathaway mike brown earthquake bcs rankings world war z the voice When Is Veterans Day 2012

Investing in a Bad Economy - Real Estate Economy Watch

With our economy finally recovering from a terrible recession and the possibility of another financial collapse in the coming months, it can be difficult to decide whether or not to invest. Is investing during a bad economy good, or bad?

Residential real estate invest has done surprisingly well for investors during the housing depression.

Large, affordable inventories of distress sales, foreclosures and short sales, have put real estate investing in reach of millions of investors who never would have considered it. Returns of eight percent or better have encourages more than two dozen well-funded private equity investors to enter the market, creating additional demand for well-managed Investors saw their share of non-distressed property purchases inch higher from 11.3 percent to 12.2 percent over the past five months, according to Campbell Surveys.

While there are many bad investments that you should avoid during a down economy, there are also of plenty positive ones, too. Forbes ?Portfolio Strategy? columnist Ken Fisher knows exactly how to make good investing decisions. Make sure you read books by Ken Fisher so you know exactly how to make good investing decisions. Check out this list of things to invest in that could still make you money during a down economy, and see if investing in any of these is a smart decision for you and your money.

Pharmaceutical Industry

It?s a widely accepted fact that beer sales go up as the economy goes down. The pharmaceutical industry is similar in that way. While there is no known study behind it, many people believe that more people get sick during bad economies. Even if that?s not true, humans will never stop getting sick, regardless of the economy.

There will always be high demand for medicine, and the companies that make these medicines know that. That?s why investing in a pharmaceutical company is a solid, recession-proof investment that you can hold on to for years, regardless of the economy.

Entertainment Industry

Investing in different areas of the entertainment industry usually works out to be a recession-proof investment. Movie theatre ticket sales often rise as the economy dips into recession, as people try and escape reality. You likely won?t see investments in this industry depreciate during a recession, and you should even see a spike in growth.

There?s a reason that Hollywood?s ?Golden Age? of the 1930s coincidentally coincided with the Great Depression. People seek outlets during bad times, and turn to entertainment, liquor, and tobacco. People are also more likely to take a big vacation during a recession, so investing in areas relating to travel tends to be a good recession-proof investment.

Oil and Gas

Investing in oil stocks will keep your portfolio afloat during hard times, as gasoline tends to always be in demand. Oil and gas are not going away any time soon, and will keep a steady cash flow as long as you hold onto it. No matter the economy, an investment into this industry is a smart one. As long as our society remains as oil dependant as we are right now, you?ll rarely lose money investing in oil and gas.

Source: http://www.realestateeconomywatch.com/2012/11/investing-in-a-bad-economy/

rob the firm new york philharmonic marines urinating on taliban critics choice awards super pac dre kirkpatrick

Microsoft Visual C# 2012 Step by Step

Publisher:?Microsoft Press

Released:?December 2012?(est.)

Pages:?650

Teach yourself how to build applications with Microsoft Visual C# 2012 and Visual Studio? 2012?one step at a time. Ideal for those with fundamental programming skills, this tutorial provides practical, learn-by-doing exercises for mastering core C# language features and creating working applications and components for Windows?.

Discover how to:

  • Work with variables, non-reserved identifiers, statements, operators, and methods
  • Use the new application models provided by Windows 8 and the Windows Runtime
  • Create interfaces and define abstract classes
  • Manage errors and exception handling
  • Use collection classes
  • Work with databases by using DataBinding with the Entity Framework
  • Respond to user input and gestures; gather input from devices and other sources
  • Handle events arising from multiple sources
  • Develop your first Windows 8 apps
Title:
Microsoft? Visual C#? 2012 Step by Step
By:
John Sharp
Publisher:
Microsoft Press
Formats:
Print:
December 2012 (est.)
Pages:
650 (est.)
Print ISBN:
978-0-7356-6801-0
| ISBN 10:
0-7356-6801-9
  1. John Sharp

    John Sharp is the author of Microsoft Windows Communication Foundation Step by Step and Microsoft Visual C# 2010 Step by Step. An expert on developing applications with the Microsoft .NET Framework and interoperability issues, John has produced numerous tutorials, white papers, and presentations on distributed systems, web services, and the C# language.

    View John Sharp's full profile page.

Description

Product Details

About the Author

Recommended for You

Customer Reviews

?
?

Source: http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/oreilly/upcomingbooks/~3/S61XVr_FEgA/

new hope baptist church associated press foster friess new orleans hornets ghost rider spirit of vengeance hornets prince johan friso